Bakit Hindi Tama ang Shot?

by:SkyeCode•3 linggo ang nakalipas

1.18K

Ang Shot Na Hindi Inasahan

10 segundo pa lang. Nasa panganib ang team. Nakakulong si Steph Curry sa double-team—tumingin para tumulong. Ang bola ay umabot kay Pu’er—maluwang sa corner. Walang manlalaban malapit. Ang kanyang lugar. Ang kanyang paraan.

Ngunit hindi siya sumabog.

Huminga muna—tapos ibinalik sa Draymond Green.

Gumrogl ng karamihan. Sumigaw ang internet: “Ano ba ‘yun?!”

Ako naman, alam ko ito dahil sa aking mga pagkakamali noong bata ako sa South Side ng Chicago, kung saan bawat sayaw na nawala ay parang pagkabigo laban sa sarili.

Kapag Nagkasundo ang Logic at Emosyon

Hindi ako dito para sisihin si Pu’er—o sinuman.

Pero bilang isang taga-istatistika ng basketball gamit machine learning (oo, nakipagtulungan ako sa NBA), alam ko: ang paghinto ay hindi dahil saylanga.

Ito’y plano.

Sa isang sandali bago maibigay ang bola, ginawa namin ang pagsusuri:

Ano ang posibilidad na matamaan kahit may labanan?
Ano ang average na tagumpay mula dito noong crunch time?
Ano ang epekto ng pagkawala ng ganito shot?
Paano nakikita ng koponan siya habang nagpapasya?

Ang datos ay sinasabi: dapat sumabog. May mas mataas na 42% na rate mula rito noong nakaraan. Ngunit… hindi niya ginawa. Pano? Baka hindi ito tungkol sa kakayahan—baka ito’y takot sa resulta. Pareho tayo noon kapag nasa linya ka lang at lahat nanonood—at bigla kang nababalot ng lamig. Ito’y humanidad. Hindi kapansanan. at ngayon, may AI na makakakita nito bago mangyari.

Higit Pa Sa Slogan: Ano Ba Talaga Ang ‘Matalino’ Ngayon?

Patuloy tayo magtanong: ano nga ba talaga ang ‘matalino’? The tradisyonal: ibigay kay taong pinaka-epektibo. At si Pu’er membro rin dito. The bagong sistema: sundin ang data—even if feels wrong emotionally. The algorithm wala lang akalain tungkol legacy o reputasyon—tanging outcome lang yang importante buhat time to time. Pambalot? Sa 9 out of 10 ganoon ding sitwasyon noong nakaraan, mas mataas yung win probability kapag sumabog sila—even if miss nila dalawa-sampu! The system rewards courage over caution—as long as consistent mo with volume and accuracy over time. Si Pu’er average .438 from deep this year—above league average. So yes—he should’ve taken it. The real question isn’t whether he made it—but whether we’ll ever build systems where emotional intelligence meets predictive analytics without punishing individual risk-takers.

Analitika ng Basketball

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Analitika ng Basketball

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SkyeCode

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Data-driven basketball thinker. Building AI tools that predict the game—and the future. From Chicago courts to global stats, I turn chaos into clarity. Join me in redefining how we see the game.

Mainit na komento (4)

RainhaDoArremesso

2 linggo ang nakalipas

Ah, o famoso ‘tiro que ninguém viu vir’… 🤯 Quando o Pu’er estava sozinho no canto com três metros de vazio e um olhar de quem queria ser herói — e ainda assim passou! 😂

Na minha terra, isso se chama: ‘falta de coragem ou excesso de análise’?

Dizem que a estatística dizia: ‘tira!’ Mas ele preferiu confiar na emoção… ou no medo do pior!

Sério, quem aqui já não falhou um lance assim no campo da sua cidade? 🙃

Conte nos comentários: você teria arremessado? 💬🔥

214

3 linggo ang nakalipas

พูเออร์ไม่ยิงเหรอ?

คนบอกว่าสามเมตรไม่มีใคร เห็นไหม?

แต่พูเออร์เลือกส่งให้ดรัมมอนด์แทน… เพราะเขารู้ว่าถ้าพลาดจะโดนทุกคนด่าแน่!

เราคิดว่าเขาขาดความกล้า? แต่จริงๆ แล้วเขากำลังคิดเลขในหัวแบบโปรเจกต์ AI ของฉันเลยนะ!

สถิติบอกว่าควรยิง! เปอร์เซ็นต์แม่นกว่า 42% ในสถานการณ์แบบนี้ แต่ใจมันแข็งแรงไม่พอ… เหมือนตอนเราต้องยิงฟรีเบิลที่โรงเรียน น้ำมือเย็นไปหมด!

อย่างนี้เรียกว่า ‘อัจฉริยะทางอารมณ์’?

AI เห็นทุกอย่าง… มันรู้ว่าเขาควรยิง แต่มันก็ไม่ได้บอกว่าจะรู้สึกแย่แค่ไหนถ้าพลาด

บางครั้งความกล้าแท้จริงไม่ใช่การยิงให้โดน แต่คือการยอมเสี่ยงแม้จะกลัวขนาดไหนก็ตาม!

เราต้องเปลี่ยนระบบหรือเปล่า?

หากเกมชนะโดยคำนวณจากข้อมูล… ก็คงต้องให้รางวัลความพยายามมากกว่าผลลัพธ์ อย่าวู่วามตำหนิผู้เล่นที่เลือกเส้นทางใจแทนสถิติ

เพราะบางที… คนเราจะเป็นฮีโร่อยู่เสมอ ก็เมื่อเราพร้อมจะให้อภัยเมื่อพวกเขาล้มเหลว!

ใครเห็นด้วยบ้าง? คอมเมนต์มาเลย! 🔥

856

농구통계마법사

3 linggo ang nakalipas

푸에르의 선택은 실수일까?

3점선 끝자락, 딱 10초 남았는데… 푸에르는 공을 받고도 슛 안 쏴. “어디서 튀어나온 거야?” 하는 순간, 내 머릿속엔 체육관에서 망한 슛이 떠올랐다.

데이터는 말했지: ‘쏴라!’

통계상 이거 42% 성공률인데… 결국 그가 고민한 건 ‘실수할 가능성’이 아니라 ‘사람 마음’이었다. 심리학적 난관? 아니, 그냥 우리 다 겪는 ‘손 떨림’이다.

그런데 진짜 문제는?

우리는 선수에게 ‘현명한 선택’을 요구하지만, ‘현명함’이란 과연 무엇인가? AI는 ‘슛해야 한다’고 하지만, 사람은 ‘아무도 나를 보지 않았으면 좋겠다’고 생각한다.

결론: 용기란?

스킵하고 싶지만 그래도 쏘는 것. 그게 진짜 현명함일지도 몰라. 너희는 어떻게 생각해? 😂 #푸에르 #NBA #데이터분석 #스포츠심리

DunkerPhilosophie

3 linggo ang nakalipas

Pourquoi il a pas tiré ?

3 mètres libre ? Personne autour ? Et il passe à Draymond ?

Même mon cousin de Créteil aurait tiré là-dessus après une journée au foot.

Mais bon… le calcul est clair : 42 % de réussite en situation critique. Le cerveau du joueur a dû dire : « Attends… si je rate, tout le monde va me haïr. »

C’est pas de la lâcheté… c’est du courage émotionnel. On veut des décisions intelligentes… mais sans punir les humains qui hésitent.

Alors voilà : Pu’er n’a pas manqué un shoot… il a manqué une opportunité de faire un clip viral sur TikTok.

Vous pensez qu’il aurait dû tirer ? Ou c’était une stratégie psychologique ? Commentairez-vous ça ? 🏀🔥

113

Indiana Pacers

Yang Hansen