As a former MIT sports analytics grad and NBA data analyst, I’ve run the numbers on rookie prospect Esberly. His on-court stats are flashy, but his off-court risks? Unacceptable. If he lands at #10, the Rockets must walk away. This isn’t just about talent—it’s about culture, chemistry, and long-term team stability. Let’s break down why this pick could be a franchise disaster—backed by real data and cold logic.